Round 22 · 2026

Updated Sun 09 Aug 2026 19:30
✓ Teams confirmed

Best bets

analyst verdict
# Market Pick Why Units
1 H2H St Kilda +9.3% edge, +3.8% mkt, model 55%, $2.20 SportsBet 4
2 Line St Kilda +4.5 Line value flag, $2.20 zone, 4-pt cushion 3
3 Disposal prop NWM 25+ disposals 5-streak, avg 33.8, last-3 30.3, well clear of bar 1
4 Disposal prop Bradley Hill 25+ disposals 5-streak, avg 33.4; price likely value at bar 1
5 Disposal prop Jagga Smith 25+ disposals 5-streak, avg 27.6, last-3 29.7 (+2.1 trend) 1

Total exposure: 10u

Same-game multis

two legs, calculated

STK v CAR — 1u, min $3.20

STK v CAR — 1u, min $3.00

The round

1 games, ranked by combined score
STK
St Kilda
VS
CAR
Carlton
ValueLine value
Model
55%
Edge
+9.3%
Mkt
+3.8%
TipSTK $2.20 · +4.5 · 4pt

The longshot

the fun one — most weeks it loses
St Kilda v Carlton 4 legs $8.45
fair odds · only take at $8.87+ · stake 0.25u
  • St Kilda to win · model 55%
  • Mattaes Phillipou 25+ disposals · boosted from 20+ -- hits 60% of last 5
  • Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera 25+ disposals · boosted from 20+ -- hits 60% of last 5
  • Hugo Garcia 20+ disposals · boosted from 15+ -- hits 60% of last 5
A hobby project, for fun — nothing here is financial advice.
Prices move; always check live odds. Gamble responsibly: gamblinghelponline.org.au